What are the risks for malignant respiratory disease that may exist at exposure levels below air concentrations?

 

Asbestosis:  Based on its review of available data, a task group convened by the World Health Organization (WHO 1998) concluded that, "Asbestotic changes are common following prolonged exposure of 5 to 20 fiber/mL." and that, "The risk at lower exposure levels is not known."

Alternatively, based on an analysis that extrapolated from data for asbestosis mortalities in a group of asbestos textile workers, Stayner et al. (1997) concluded that there was an excess risk of 2/1,000 for asbestosis mortality for men exposed for 45 years to an airborne asbestos concentration of 0.1 fiber/mL. Other scientists have criticized the applicability of the Stayner analysis to general population environmental exposures, noting that this group of asbestos textile workers displayed higher mortality rates than other groups of asbestos workers (Case et al. 2000; Hodgson and Darnton 2000).

Lung Cancer and Mesothelioma:  Based on an analysis of data from epidemiologic studies of workers who were exposed to asbestos before modern occupational exposure limits were established, EPA (1986) calculated by extrapolation that lifetime exposure to asbestos air concentrations of 0.0001 fiber/mL could result in up to 2 to 4 excess cancer deaths (lung cancer or mesothelioma) per 100,000 people. This air concentration is within reported ranges of ambient air levels (0.00001 to 0.0001 fiber/mL). The EPA analysis has been extensively discussed and reviewed in the scientific literature (Camus et al. 1998; Hodgson and Darnton 2000; Hughes 1994; Landrigan 1998; Lash et al. 1997).  The EPA is in the process of reviewing and possibly updating their cancer risk estimates for asbestos.